We are excited to welcome you back to another exceptional edition of SUNDAY SCANS for you today. Take your time to work through each of the sections in this newsletter to prepare yourself for the action packed week ahead.
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WHAT WE WILL COVER TODAY
-Intro/Thoughts/Lesson
-Schedule of economic data and earnings
-Market Breadth Data & Internals
-Index and ETF Analysis
-Bracco’s Breakdown and Top Ideas
-TSDR Weekly Outlook and Watchlist
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SUNDAY SCANS, Let’s get into the action!
INTRO
A couple things guys.
#1 Don’t Lose Money
#2. Remember Number 1
I know it doesn’t sell subscriptions right, telling people time and time again that this is a game of risk management, it is a game of the best loser wins. I am fine with that. Because nothing makes me happier than seeing the people in the group survive this period while others are down 30-60% over a short period of time. I mean just look at the QQQ weekly or monthly. That’s what cause blowups! Guess what, its going to happen again. We will get difficult periods again. Your strategy and intuition will be as good as useless again. So what will you do when that time comes, again?
You must have something in place!
I have some opinions on the market right now but mostly just a few scenarios that I would like to see play out. Nothing groundbreaking. I really just try to keep a simple approach of a general roadmap for the next few days and weeks combined with a watchlist of interested stocks.
I have my setups and variations of those setups that I trade and really do not deviate from that much at all anymore. Because well, I don’t want to and I don’t need to. I know my approach and I know my strengths and weaknesses. It all comes down to
-Will I recognize it
-Will I execute it
-Will I remain patient in between
-What stocks will it present on
-Is the Juice worth the Squeeze
One thing I really do enjoy about these tougher periods in the market is that it reminds me that no matter what the market throws at me I will survive. Bring it on!
Obviously, a favorable and opportune market is best but the resilience that comes from protecting drawdown and avoiding shit. It’s a whole nother sort of high vs the reward from shredding some big trades.
Another thing that deserves mentioning here in two parts.
1. Follow Through Day
2. Watchlist
Both are critical. Without a watchlist of quality actionable RS leaders the FTD is simply just half of the equation. Not trying to minimize it at all but just a saying that both are important.
Additionally, I do rely a lot on feel and intuition more and more but that’s just me. I have developed a trust of myself to recognize and execute properly. To know what big spots look like in the market and what stocks stand out most. All of this qualitative impulse combined with quantitative approach, but balanced. You get one stock to work, then another, then a 3rd. All of a sudden over the course of a few days or a couple weeks you have an account with winners and leaders with cushion. One by one as the risk gets rewarded so you can put on more risk and exposure. This brings some trust in self and the market after that proof is shown.
Simply put, TRACTION. When you get it you can keep trying. If you don’t you ease back.
Earnings & Economic Calendar for the Week
Market Breadth Data
StockBee (Pradeep Bonde) Market Monitor
UCT Breadth Monitor as well. Will give more detail in the future. Included positioning as well, Enjoy.
Bracco’s Market Health Tracker
Index & ETFs
QQQ SPY IWM SMH XBI CIBR
QQQ (Daily, Weekly, and Hourly)
Oversold bounce to end the week and reclaim the low range but not entirely a reclaim. We are above a flattening 9EMA but a declining 20EMA. In terms of the cycle of price action, we are pre wedge pop. Ideally all of next week we chop around and maintain the gap up lows and especially the weekly lows. Happy with my read and my patience throughout the week and the past month+. From the re short on the loss of the 50SMA, and again at the bearish cross back at the 20EMA and then the extension and strong bounce. Now I am excited honestly, still incredibly patient but excited for if this sets up how we want it to.
I still encourage folks to think about how much better their account and minds would be if they actually implemented participation rules. Something simple like the 50SMA or the 20EMA. No trades when XYZ is below these. Would you have more money and peace of mind?
Additionally, with the wedge pop, as early as TUESDAY the market could get a Follow Through Day. Now it is reasonable to think that we do not need one given the SPY hasn’t corrected, but overall it is easier to assume we do and if we get one to give it respect.
I still encourage significant selectivity and patience.
The weekly of the Nasdaq has me more interested than the daily right now. I think we have some levels to trade against on both timeframes.
On this hourly, I would be encouraged to see early week weakness get bought up to form an hourly launchpad in this $680 area.
SPY (Daily)
What correction? The bull gap from Thursday should act as support, if it doesn’t were basically fucked.
IWM (Daily)
Miserable chop in Uncle Russell.
SMH (Daily)
This is where the pain has been and showed signs of near term extension and capitulation. What comes of this is anyone’s guess. I am not confident either way.
XBI (Daily)
Discussed the past few weeks how it reminded me of early 2026 XLE behavior and so far is trading similarly. I am still interested however.
CIBR (Daily)
Basically the best group and only thing that deserves attention rn.
Bracco’s Breakdown & Top Ideas
That had to be one of the craziest trading weeks of the year so far! We had the immediate reversal on the Monday gap up, total panic in South Korean markets on Tuesday, absurd intraday volatility on fed day, Situational Awareness’s public book liquidated, and a massive snap back rally Thursday-Friday.
Throughout all that action I was only actively participating on Wednesday. Given that I excel in trading the market turns, especially the upside reversals around fear and panic, I saw the sell off on A.I names into mid-week as a pretty convincing opportunity. I was mainly focused on SOXL KORU & SNDK for this trade. With the recent volatility we had seen in said names and how aggressively the narratives have shifted this year, I thought there was a strong case for a very aggressive relief bounce. This was the only day I had tried to bounce these names since they began breaking down at the start of July as this was the first time they were truly set up for a high probability mean reversion trade imo.
Turns out the thesis was on point, but the timing and execution was not. I was in and out of SOXL KORU SNDK multiple times on Wednesday, just to get whipped around and then eventually trade back to cash on the aggressive sell-off into close. Then the market gapped up and took off out of the gate on Thursday and I decided to just spectate. I had thought that the odds were there for some continuation, but after the frustration and difficulty of the previous day I decided it was best to sit out and get my emotions under control before considering any other trades. You may get away with emotional reactions or mistakes in a easy, up-trending market, but environments like this are not forgiving… That was hands down one of the most difficult mean reversion turns i've traded from a technical perspective and not that upset looking back on it. Most importantly did not go looking for revenge or what I thought I deserved from market, just patiently begin waiting for that next opportunity.
The main reason I was so focused on trying to play that turn was because that very well may have been the best opportunity for the next couple weeks. We are now at a very tough spot in the price cycle where many of the high flyer momentum names have already fallen 40-60% off highs in relatively short time, meaning that the most optimal short spots are already behind us, even tho it seems that right now more people are ready to short pops into declining moving averages than at any point in the last six weeks. I will say from experience that it is extremely dangerous and detrimental to just begin shorting stuff too late in the down cycle. Something to be mindful of in the near future. Not only that, but we also have an incredible amount of broken charts in many of the prior leaders and very few quality bases in potential new leaders. Now, in my eyes this doesn’t at all mean that the market cannot go higher from here, it just points to how difficult it may be to take advantage of or navigate that upswing smoothly.
I will be first to say I really do not know what to expect in the immediate future. I don’t see any intriguing setups for my style at the moment and will likely just be an observer to start the week. One thing I am fairly confident in is that over participation in this tape will likely lead to mistakes, exhaustion, drawdown, or even blow ups. Not a bad time to be the pickiest eater at the table. These are the periods that cleanse out the weak and undisciplined. Don’t let that be you.
On an unrelated note we have a few new features and ideas we will be introducing to the substack here soon which I am pretty excited about. Spare time will be spent on preparing that and continuing to work on UCT intelligence.
TSDR’s Weekly Outlook & Watchlist
In the discord we offer live trading everyday, position updates, entry and exit alerts, watchlists, scanning, daily lessons, and active chat to ask questions about anything you need.
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Current Positions
NA, Cash Money Baby!
This week was actually slightly disappointing honestly. I thought the reversion trade on Memory, Korea, and Semis was a really good opportunity and probably still is honestly. However, I was not able to hold my positions into the EOD FOMC sell off that closed at lows. Then saw the move starting again in after hours, not much surprise, and decided to wait for regular trading hours to put on risk. Then during Thursday’s session we discussed the Brian Shannon Gap Up vs Intermediate Trend template and thought it was a perfect scenario. However, I was pretty mentally drained and a bit frustrated so I decided to not trade it. I was able to walk through the action on zoom and in my channel in discord and help others but didn’t execute it myself. I posted a few tweets about my positions and the idea and man I had some kick ass spots on RAM SOXL KORU but was a little bit oversized and well the rest is history.
Makes me think of two things.
Missed trades and trades not taken. It is far easier to sit and stress about missed trades. Trades we saw and thought about and even attempted and they ended up working but without us. Then you have the other side of that, trades missed but ended up failing anyway. Much easier to forget those ones that we thought about but they ended up not working and it is much easier to remember the ones we thought about and ended up working in a good way. Funny how the mind works. Also makes me think about several trades I considered taking over the past few weeks and passed on. Like “oh LLY looks nice here”. Maybe DELL here on this remount. Only to see them fail and would have resulted in stops. Doesn’t skipping those or avoiding those losses count essentially the same as a win? Yet, our mind only focuses on the ones that we passed on and went on to work, not the ones that would’ve resulted in loss. We do the math in our head, oh that would’ve been $12K on that win. But we don’t do the math of oh that would’ve been a $3K loss that we avoided.
Anyway, just something that crossed my mind this week.
I will say, I have really enjoyed the teaching and mentorship of the group lately. It is always a great part of these periods to be able to work throughs strategy and have time to give long profound lessons and teaching moments.
Okay, now let’s see what the scans are giving us this week!
PS. I am writing this before building my watchlist, my expectation is SHIT. I expect my list to be trash as it was trash on Friday. Let’s see what I found after looking at 4,000 stocks lol.
It is important to note that the Nasdaq is in a correction and was down 11% off highs before the end of week bounce. Combined with the macro uncertainty, there is reason to be weary. But let’s remember the optimistic outlook, are we simply building a wall of worry and unwinding some positioning that was heavy levered to the long side? For years and years the market has built these walls and climbed them. It has paid to remain patient, open minded, and optimistic.
We are in a rally attempt with a potentially FTD on Tuesday this week up until next week Thursday. Days 4-10 off the lows. We are pre wedge pop and could get that as early as late this week honestly. That is unless we base to head lower once more. A variety of scenarios remain possible, progressive exposure and watchlist curation will be critical going forward.
Charts Covered
MU SNDK BE NBIS INTC AMZN MSFT DELL AMD DDOG CRWD SNOW NET TWLO RNG BLZE BFLY FIVN OSCR NTRA LLY CBRS
MU (Daily)
Wanted to start out with the two most important charts in the strongest theme of the market over the past year. Got extended to the downside and now likely entering a very volatile choppy period of large up and down moves. I do think an early hold of sub $800 next week closer to $780 would be a near term tradable spot back up to $950 or so and comparable spots on SNDK and SOXL, KORU, or RAM. Likely the best spots for active trading for some time still.
SNDK (Daily)
MU levels translate to $1100 roughly on SNDK, possible $1150 depending on mkt action.
BE (Daily)
The next three are again, likely only possible active trading vehicles. Declining MAs on all, multiple bases, wide and loose. I remain open minded but likely need work. There are some things to like about all three BE, NBIS, INTC, and even MRVL. I want to keep them on my radar in case market surprises positively over time. Need near term tightening and wedge pop. With Leopold stuff I could see market saying these unwound enough and piling back in. Leaving the door open for that, however limited it may be.
NBIS (Daily)
INTC (Daily)
Could be comparable to INTC on 4/1/26. Overlay that and they look similar. Market at a similar spot as well. It is easy for me to remain patient so I want to prepare somewhat for better than expected outcomes. However pessimistic I may be right now given the structure of many of the charts.
AMZN (Daily)
Next two I want to present are two of the biggest companies in the world! And two stocks that had kick ass earnings reports and earnings reactions. The growth and demand for AWS and Azure are remarkable given their size. Shows how likely this period is to continue in terms of fundamental demand. This is good to see for the market and I am excited to see how the charts build over the next few weeks.
MSFT (Daily)
First two closes above the 200SMA for the entirety of 2026.
DELL (Daily)
Next two are clear “if it fails then what will work charts” both starting to look a bit toppy ish. IDK though! AMD Moreso than DELL
AMD (Daily)
DDOG (Daily)
Next five charts will be the RS names of the cyber/cloud basket that everyone obviously sees. You have to have these on your list.
CRWD (Daily)
SNOW (Daily)
NET (Daily)
TWLO (Daily)
RNG (Daily)
The next four are notable HVE/Earnings Gappers that I think are standout.
BLZE (Daily)
BFLY (Daily)
FIVN (Daily)
OSCR (Daily)
Some reasonable healthcare and diagnostics charts that look pretty awesome.
NTRA (Daily)
LLY (Daily)
CBRS (Daily)
Last year’s correction gave up CRWV, 2024 gave us ALAB.. 2026?!
FULL BROADER LIST
CRWD DELL AMZN CBRS OSCR LLY NTRA DDOG NET OKTA RNG BLZE BROS CCXI DLO TWST TWLO NBIS BE MU SNDK AMD SOXL INTC HNGE TNGX DFTX RBRK NTAP HPE FROG APPS XOM VG CVX UMAC TENB FIG HUT PRCH PANW DOCN ARM MRVL RAL SNOW ANET COMP APH BFLY CRCL FIVN BB CSCO CIFR BLLN AMC IMAX LION AVT NAVN YOU AEHR FLS AFRM DLO
THANK YOU FOR READING
-Uncharted Territory
Great read, thanks!
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